Lightning hope to get on track versus Maple Leafs

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03/11/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Tampa Bay Lightning will aim for just their second win in eight games when they visit the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight at Air Canada Centre.

The Lightning are only five points out of a playoff berth in the Eastern Conference, but have posted a 1-6-0 record in their last seven games. Tampa has dropped three of four since the Olympic break and is coming off Tuesday's road loss against Montreal.

The Canadiens posted a 5-3 win over the Bolts, marking the sixth time in seven games that Tampa Bay has surrendered five goals or more. The Lightning's lone win during that stretch came in a 6-2 victory over Atlanta on Saturday.

Steven Stamkos scored a goal and dished out an assist for the Lightning, who have dropped six of seven. Martin St. Louis and Matt Walker also lit the lamp in defeat.

Antero Niittymaki gave up four goals on 13 shots before being pulled near the midway point of the second. Mike Smith turned aside 14-of-15 shots in relief.

"We have to find a way to win on the road," Stamkos said. "It has become too common. We're going to run out of time if we can't win on the road."

The Lightning are just 9-19-5 as the guest this year and have lost four straight road games. Tonight's tilt marks the middle test of a three-game road trip for Tampa.

The team's road woes have not been the fault of Stamkos, at least not recently. The 2008 No. 1 overall draft choice is riding a franchise-record 17- game point streak and has amassed 16 goals and 15 assists over that span. Stamkos is third in the league with 41 goals, placing him behind only Washington's Alex Ovechkin and Pittsburgh's Sidney Crosby.

Tampa could be without winger Ryan Malone for a second straight game as he continues to battle an upper-body injury suffered Saturday against Atlanta.

The Maple Leafs are last in the East with 54 points but they have registered a point in four straight games, going 2-0-2 over that span.

Toronto was able to record a win its last time out, edging visiting Boston, 4-3, in Tuesday's overtime decision. Nikolai Kulemin scored with 49.7 seconds left in OT to lead the Leafs to the dramatic victory.

Wayne Primeau, Carl Gunnarsson and Luca Caputi also scored in regulation for the Maple Leafs, helping their team win for just the second time in seven games. Jonas Gustavsson stopped 26-of-29 shots to get the win.

"We're playing for pride right now and some guys are playing for jobs next year. When you're out there you want to win," Gustavsson said.

Toronto, which is just 12-14-5 as the host this year. will complete a three- game homestand Saturday against Edmonton.

The Lightning have won two of its three tests against Toronto this year, but both of those victories came in overtime. Tampa has taken six of eight overall in the series and has won three straight in Toronto.

Tonight marks the final scheduled matchup of the year between the Bolts and Leafs.

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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined

Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.

"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."

Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)

According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.

As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).

Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.

Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at

17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.

*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007

New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers

By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.

"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."

While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."

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